Over the past 5 days the predicted path has varied by as much as 15km/day. As of this hour, a 1200ft/min ascent, 90,000ft burst and a 1500ft/min descent puts our landing near I65 10 miles south of Crown Point. This may be due to the unprecedented jet stream configuration over the center of the country. It’s the reason why we’ve had such incredibly unseasonable weather. Since the NWS data used for our flight predictions is based on atmospheric models, what do they do when the conditions have no previous example?
Presently, we are still planning on arriving at the Aurora West County Forest Preserve at 6pm Sunday evening. Conditions can still change. Until we have the latest prediction on Sunday afternoon, there is no guarantee this will be the launch site. Having to row out into Lake Michigan for recovery is not a favorable option.
If you’re planning on joining us for the launch or any portion of the mission, please let me know as soon as possible so I can keep you updated just in case there are any last minute changes.